Aintree Grand National Festival: Day 1 Picks

13:45 – EBC Group Manifesto Novices’ Chase (Grade 1) (GBB Race) – Jango Baie

DESPITE the quick turnaround from the Cheltenham Festival, Jango Baie gets the pick thanks to qualities he put on show last month. Quick, efficient jumping and an ability to stay beyond two miles were key to his victory in the Arkle. With sun forecast Henderson’s runner is guaranteed ground some description of good and should continue his impressively consistent record of never finishing outside the top two in nine starts. Croke Park boasts two grade ones as a novice chaser, including a victory by a neck to Ryanair Chase runner-up Heart Wood, a really good bit of form considering the brave effort that horse put in behind a brilliant winner in Fact To File. Croke Park would have got the pick here if ground was softer but the speed of the surface may just give the selection the edge. A forecast or even a tricast is very doable in this race in my opinion thanks to the quality at the top of the market compared to the field. Impaire Et Passe rounds off these places, with a grade one success in the Faugheen Novices’ Chase to his name and solid festival form after last year’s Aintree Hurdle success.

1st Jango Baie
2nd Croke Park
3rd Impaire Et Passe

14:20 – Boodles Anniversary 4-Y-O Juvenile Hurdle (Grade 1)
(GBB Race) – Puturhandstogether

ONCE again, this pick defies the quick Cheltenham turnaround but the victory in last month’s Fred Winter Juvenile Handicap looked like this horse could have been competitive in the Triumph Hurdle. The ability to cruise late into the race and the extra gear in the final furlong was very impressive with athletic ability clearly passed down from his sire Caravaggio. He boasts form ahead of a few rivals here from that run and hasn’t been out of the top three since changing disciplines so justifies favouritism. Live Conti runs for the Skeltons and
Sir Alex Ferguson who can be very prolific at this meeting. He looked like he could be anything when bolting up at Wetherby in February and has only missed out thanks to the solid evidence the favourite produced last time out in a big field at a big meeting. Mambonumberfive makes 3rd spot after winning a grade two at Kempton last time out against some useful horses where he easily coped with the pace and looked like he could step up in competition for the
Ben Pauling yard.

1st Puturrhandstogether
2nd Live Conti
3rd Mambonumberfive

14:55 – Brooklands Golden Miller Chronograph Bowl Chase (Grade 1)
(GBB Race) – Spillane’s Tower

THIS runner would probably be my pick of the day. Jimmy Mangan has kept this horse fresh since finishing 5th in the King George VI Chase in December, where a rapid pace was set and his jumping wasn’t up to his usually good standard. This horse has tonnes of ability which was perfectly demonstrated when a close 2nd to Fact To File at Punchestown in November. The winner most recently put in the most impressive performance of the meeting at Cheltenham last month when winning the Ryanair and that form alone feels too difficult to ignore in this race. Ahoy Senor boasts great form at this meeting from previous seasons and the good ground should see him make the picture here provided he jumps as soundly as he is capable of. I wouldn’t risk betting on a forecast or tricast for this race however because the 2nd and 3rd pick here do have a mistake in them at times. Grey Dawning could make the remaining place after getting a win on the board at Kelso last month. Missing Cheltenham seems important as, although he won there last season, the exertion to get the win seemed to make him run flat at Aintree and after winning an easier race last time he might be fresher.

1st Spillane’s Tower
2nd Ahoy Senor
3rd Grey Dawning

15:30 – William Hill Aintree Hurdle (Grade 1) (GBB Race) – Constitution Hil

THE winner of this race in 2023 returns after a dramatic renewal of the Champion Hurdle at Cheltenham saw Nicky Henderson’s superstar take a dramatic fall at the top of the hill. It was very uncharacteristic for what we have come to expect from this horse from the past few seasons but there were warning signs that nobody could have anticipated would lead to a fall. He often stands outside the wings over some of his hurdles and clears them spectacularly, but he put in a messy jump in the back straight at Kempton when winning the Christmas Hurdle and he blundered massively at the last in the Unibet Hurdle in January. The ridiculous pace set by King Of Kingsfield and Brighterdaysahead forced the mistake from Constitution Hill because of the intensity, as well as State Man who fell at the last when drawing clear but looked tired when trying to land. The prediction is that the pace should be quick given the quality on show but that this horse will bounce back to his best and that the mistake has been ironed out. It is also forgivable because this is jumps racing and it is the nature of the sport. Lossiemouth could finish 2nd to
Constitution Hill for a second time after what was a routine win for her in the end in the Mares’ Hurdle. She fell in February when losing to State Man but much like the Constitution Hill fall, the pace that day was very quick and the decreased intensity in the Mares’ suited her much better. Wodhooh has built an incredibly impressive winning streak of six wins, with a win in the Martin Pipe last time out. If the other two don’t fire she should be able to pick up the pieces but it is difficult to pick against the big two.

1st Constitution Hill
2nd Lossiemouth
3rd Wodhooh

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