Cheltenham Festival 2023 Day 3: My Picks

13:30 – Turners Novices’ Chase (Grade 1) – Mighty Potter

GORDON Elliot has two winners so far this Cheltenham, with Delta Work claiming back-to-back Cross Country Chases yesterday. Mighty Potter has won three out of three over fences, including two grade ones ahead of the National Hunt Challenge Cup winner Gaillard Du Mesnil. He also has form finishing ahead of Banbridge who was last seen finishing just a nose ahead of Appreciate It. This means he has significant form ahead of the Irish horses in the field and Gordon Elliott is hoping this horse will be one of his better chances for another win this week.

14:50 – Ryanair Chase (Grade 1) – Janidil

LAST year’s runner-up made a winning return after 297 days off the track in the grade two Red Mills Chase at Gowran Park last month. Willie Mullins said his runner was “a little further advanced” than he thought and the result put him firmly in the Ryanair Chase picture. It was a graded winning return after a long lay off and he should improve for the run. This pick does mean that Shishkin doesn’t make the cut, a horse who appears to have tonnes more ability and is much more proven as a winner at grade one level. However, the ground has gone very soft and Shishkin was pulled up in similar conditions early in the Champion Chase last season. The conditions could produce an upset in favour of a horse with staying power and Janidil should fit that profile.

15:30 – Paddy Power Stayers’ Hurdle (Grade 1) – Teahupoo

TEAHUPOO has been an impressive this season in two starts but is a newcomer to the staying hurdle division. He started the season by handing the amazing Honeysuckle her first ever defeat, over a trip of two-and-a-half miles and saw off established stayer Klassical Dream in the finish. This result showed that the horse had enough pace to see off the best two-miler of the last three seasons, but also had the stamina to fend off a stayer. He then won his first three-mile contest in January, the grade two Galmoy Hurdle at Gowran Park. He won by 15 lengths on very soft ground and although the form of the horses in behind hasn’t been that good lately, there were some strong staying types in there and he passed the test with flying colours. The conditions will be soft again here and the division looks quite open this season and this horse could be hard to beat based on the early season form.

16:10 – Magners Plate Handicap Chase (Premier Handicap) – Midnight River (Each Way)

WITH the Skeltons off the mark with Langer Dan’s victory in the Coral Cup, another handicap success could be on the cards on day three. He won a premier handicap here on New Years Day, finishing ahead of Stolen Silver who was just over two lengths in second. Il Ridoto was also in behind and won his subsequent run ahead of Fugitif at Cheltenham later in the month. He will carry 5lbs more than last time out but that retains a difference of 6lbs between him and Il Ridoto. Dan Skelton has said that good to soft ground that is soft in places would suit and thinks the horse could step up to three miles in future. Despite a weight increase he has form ahead of some of the key runners here and showed plenty of staying ability ahead of Stolen Silver last time out.

16:50 – Jack de Bromhead Mares’ Novices’ Hurdle (Grade 2) – Luccia

LUCCIA has shown great ability, going unbeaten in four starts including two listed events over hurdles. Nicky Henderson has said he isn’t concerned if the ground were to be soft because she won a listed bumper in testing conditions. She has always shown the ability to travel powerfully and last time at Exeter, ignoring a messy final jump, she jumped cleanly on an undulating course. She has form ahead of Dan Skelton’s She’s A Saint, who although hasn’t won at graded or listed level, has never finished outside the top two. She also beat Eabha Grace in a bumper last season, who went on to win a grade three novices’ hurdle. The winning distance was 17 lengths, a sign of a class horse. She is yet to have ran above listed level, but certain parts of her form and the way she wins her races suggest she could easily achieve graded success.

Ladbrokes King George VI Chase: Runner by runner guide

  1. Asterion Forlonge

Jockey: B J Cooper

Trainer: W P Mullins

Form: F4331-U

Wgt: 11-10lb t

7yoG Gelding

OR: 152

There are no reports that suggest Willie Mullins’ runner is worse for wear after unseating his jockey, Brian Cooper, in the John Durkan Memorial Chase earlier this month. His travelling ability saw him in the picture against eventual winner Allaho at Punchestown, before he got too low and blundered three fences from home. This is a mistake he has made a few times before, with two falls early last season after similar errors. When he finishes, he normally makes the places against top opposition. He finished 3rd to Chantry House, who runs here, in the grade one Marsh Novice’s Chase at Cheltenham in March. He also finished a respectable 3rd to Janidil at Fairyhouse in a grade one over 21/2 miles before claiming victory at Punchestown over the same distance that month. His trainer, Willie Mullins, also thinks this horse runs better right handed which shows in his previous three runs but he is stepping up to three miles or the first time.

2. Chantry House

Jockey: Nico De Boineville

Trainer: N J Henderson

Form: 13111-1

Wgt: 11-10lb

7yoBR Gelding

OR: 162

Last season’s grade one Marsh Novice’s Chase winner. Made his seasonal reappearance with a 37 length victory over The Big Breakaway at Sandown early last month. He also ended last season on a high at Aintree when winning the Grade one Betway Mildmay Novices’ Chase by 32 lengths when closest challenger, Espoir De Romay fell two fences from home. Both these efforts came over the 3 mile distance and the win at Aintree provided a good stamina test, with the previously mentioned Espoir De Romay setting a good pace throughout. Chantry House is five wins from six runs over fences and his trainer Nicky Henderson is happy with his preparation, saying he is sharp. He also said that despite the previous couple of runs they haven’t “taught” him to go 3 miles, but speed won’t be a problem in the King George VI. This is his first time mixing it with some of the more established names in the staying division, having been a novice last season.

3. Clan Des Obeaux

Jockey: Harry Cobden

Trainer: P F Nicholls

Form: 8/23211-

Wgt: 11-10lb p

9yoB Gelding

OR: 172

Two time former winner of the race in 2018 and 2019. Paul Nicholls’ runner underwent a wind op last season and didn’t finish outside the top three in five graded runs. He won the Betway Bowl by 26 lengths at Aintree and the Punchestown Gold Cup, ahead of two-time Cheltenham Gold Cup winner Al Boum Photo. These two big wins came near the back end of last season after the application of cheekpieces, which appeared to benefit him greatly and he will wear them again at Kempton. The King George VI will be Clan Des Obeaux’s seasonal debut and Nicholls has stated that this horse and Frodon are “the two to beat”.

4. Frodon

Jockey: Bryony Frost

Trainer: P F Nicholls

Form: 14151-1

Wgt: 11-10lb t

9yoB Gelding

OR: 167

Winner of last year’s renewal and Cheltenham Gold Cup 5th. This horse proved a massive problem for the field Boxing Day last year. He made all, but on the 2nd lap had a tendency to jump slightly left. It didn’t hinder his chances because he corrected immediately after every obstacle. This also caused the horses in behind to follow suit, causing them to lose valuable ground and stamina with every jump. Clan Des Obeaux finished just over 8 lengths back in 3rd, having been off the bridle before the final bend, Saint Calvados was just behind him in 4th and Lostintranslation was pulled up. They all run again this year. Frodon’s seasonal debut saw him beat reigning Cheltenham Gold Cup champion Minella Indo by 5 lengths, when winning the Ladbrokes Champion Chase at Down Royal. Frodon’s Jockey, Bryony Frost, has also recorded a big grade one victory in the Tingle Creek at Sandown earlier this month.

5. Lostintranslation

Jockey: Brendan Powell

Trainer: C L Tizzard

Form: 3/3P5P-1

Wgt: 11-10lb t

9yoB Gelding

OR: 160

Earned his first win since 2019 in the grade two Chanelle Pharma 1965 Chase over 2 miles 5 furlongs last month. He had a 2nd wind op prior to the run and ground conditions suited. He beat Dashel Drasher by 16 lengths who, although may have preferred softer going, had never lost at Ascot. In the last two renewals of this race however, Lostintranslation has been pulled up. in a Racing Post article after his seasonal reappearance, Joe Tizzard remained confident that the King George VI was the most suitable race for Lostintranslation and that he seemed reinvigorated by the recent operation. The yard are also much happier with his training performances after he was difficult to get a tune out of last season.

6. Minella Indo

Jockey: Rachael Blackmore

Trainer: H de Bromhead

Form: 11F41-3

Wgt: 11-10 p1

8yoB Gelding

OR: 175

The reigning Cheltenham Gold Cup champion. Henry de Bromhead’s charge was beaten by 5 lengths after a brave front-running effort by Frodon in the Ladbrokes Champion Chase at Down Royal in late October. Bryony measured the fractions well and had this horse struggling after the 2nd last fence. This run was respectable and could make for great preparation, with de Bromhead confident he will be better after the run. This run also reversed the Gold Cup form, as Frodon finished 30 lengths behind this horse in 5th. His jockey, Rachael Blackmore, won BBC’s World Sport Star award last week and will be looking to add to her incredible achievements in the Aintree Grand National and at Cheltenham earlier this year. Minella Indo is bidding to become the first Irish-trained winner of the race since Kicking King in 2005, who also did it after winning the Gold Cup earlier that year. Wears cheekpieces for the first time here.

7. Mister Fisher

Jockey: Sean Bowen

Trainer: N J Henderson

Form: 4/P1PU2

Wgt: 11-10lb

7yoB Gelding

OR: 162

Last seen in the grade two Oaksey Chase, losing by a neck to a very game Frodon. This horse appeared to be getting the better of the reigning King George VI champion Frodon, who fought back winning by a neck after a stiff uphill finish. This horse’s highest achievement so far over fences came at Cheltenhem when winning a grade two chase over 21/2 miles. His best run over 3 miles was that previously mentioned effort against Frodon and the plan has always been to run him over 3 miles this season. Would prefer good ground.

8. Saint Calvados

Jockey: Gavin Sheehan

Trainer: P F Nicholls

Form: 1422/4U-

Wgt: 11-10lb t1

8yoB Gelding

OR: 162

Has moved stables to Ditcheat with Paul Nicholls and has undergone a wind op. Last year finished 4th, over 8 lengths behind eventual winner Frodon. his best win came in the grade two Betway Kingmaker Novices’ Chase in February 2018. This year the field has strengthened with the addition of the Gold Cup winner. He wears a tongue tie for the first time here and Nicholls has described him as a “lively outsider”. At his best he finished 2nd by a neck to Min in the 2020 Ryanair over 21/2 miles, with A Plus Tard and Frodon both finishing behind him.

9. Tornado Flyer

Jockey: D E Mullins

Trainer: W P Mullins

Form: 22543-5

Wgt: 11-10lb

8yoB Gelding

OR: 161

Last seen finishing 5th in the grade one John Durkan Memorial Punchestown Chase earlier this month. Asterion Ferlonge unseated rider three fences out. Hasn’t won a race since 2019 and this is his first time running 3 miles since last year’s renewal of the grade one Savills Chase, where he also finished a distant 5th. In other contests ran over 21/2 miles he has shown late progress in races so a step up to 3 miles is thought to suit him.

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