Aintree Grand National Festival: Grand National Day 3 Tips

14:25 – Betway Mersey Novices’ Hurdle (Grade 1) – Walking On Air

This horse was last seen winning a novices’ hurdle at Newbury, pulling away emphatically and was a similar path Nicky Henderson’s star two miler, Shishkin, took in 2020. This horse however, gave Cheltenham a miss so goes into this race fresh and will get good ground which can only benefit his speed. He will face tough competition from multiple graded winners with more form to reference. Nicky Henderson said he missed Cheltenham because he wasn’t ready and is a “big baby” but he could be anything. This horse is fresh and appeared to have excellent finishing speed last time out and could be a lightly raced, quality horse.

15:00 – Poundland Maghull Novices’ Chase (Grade 1) – Edwardstone

Edwardstone is the reigning Arkle winner and has been the star novice two miler this season. Currently on an unbeaten run of five wins, with four at graded level, this horse has shown exceptional consistency all season. His trainer Alan King has said he has no concerns ahead of the race after giving the horse a two month break after Christmas. He already holds form where he finished ahead of For Pleasure and Third Time Lucki who run here. The most threatening rival here is Gentleman De Mee but he doesn’t have the leading form claims of Alan King’s stable star. This is a great chance for him to complete a rare Cheltenham-Aintree double.

15:35 – JRL Group Liverpool Hurdle (Grade 1) – Thyme Hill

Thyme Hill won last year’s renewal of this race and comes into this race as a very respectable runner-up of the Stayers’ Hurdle at Cheltenham last month. With the likes of Clan Des Obeaux, Ahoy Senor and Fakir D’oudairies all claiming victory so far at the festival, course and festival form is at a premium. If Flooring Porter turns up at his best the reigning Stayers’ Hurdle champion will take some beating, but he can be quirky and Thyme Hill only has about 3 lengths to make up based on the Cheltenham form. He also has form ahead of many of the runners here, from last year’s renewal of this race and the Stayers’ at Cheltenham.

16:15 – Betway Handicap Chase (Grade 3) – Killer Kane

This horse has made five starts this season but has won both starts since the application of a tongue-tie in February. He was last seen achieving a career best by winning a listed success at Sandown last month. He comes into the race carrying the 2nd lowest weight in the race and the jumping test at Aintree will suit this horse if his last run was anything to go by. He faces tough opposition in winner at grade one level Shan Blue, but he will be carrying 1 stone 3lbs more than Colin Tizzard’s runner and is winless since Boxing Day last year. Shan Blue has been competing at a higher level than this horse, but this horse showed a lot of promise at Sandown. He also has a win over the three mile trip which makes this horse less of an unknown quantity.

Randox Health Grand National Handicap Chase (Grade 3)

Longhouse Poet

This horse made a good impression when winning an ungraded event at Gowran Park in January. Escaria Ten, Death Duty, Coko Beach, Brahma Bull and Class Conti all finished in behind and all run here. His best results have come over long distances, having run twice over trips that were three miles one furlong and he won both. He will carry 11lbs more than Death Duty here who is a well fancied runner for Gordon Elliott but the winning margin when they last met was over 20 lengths in this horse’s favour whilst 6lbs worse off in the weights. Longhouse Poet also has form ahead of Run Wild Fred, another fancied runner, in a beginners chase in December 2020. Longhouse Poet has had two months off the racecourse and will be relatively fresh. His last run he finished a disappointing 7th of nine runners in the Boyne Hurdle at Navan. This is a race that Tiger Roll often won in the build up to the Grand National and although he lost, this will have acted as a good prep-run for Martin Brassil’s runner. The return to a longer trip and fences will suit his strengths and he is in with a great chance in the big one.

18:20 – Weatherbys nhstallions.co.uk Standard Open NH Flat Race (Grade 2) – Henri The Second

This horse was last seen winning a listed NH flat race at Ascot in December. The race produced two smart winners in Authorised Speed and Top Dog, with many of the others finishing in the places in their following races. Paul Nicholls has kept this horse fresh with a three month lay off. Paul Nicholls told Betfair that he could be his best chance on the day but has stated that if the ground gets too good it could be a worry. Henri The Second has followed the same path this season as Nicholls’ Knappers Hill, who completed the hattrick last season and this horse has a good chance of emulating that success.

Grand National Festival Aintree: Day 3 tips

13:45 “ETF SYSTEMS HANDICAP HURDLE” – TEA CLIPPER

A young promising hurdler who is stepping up in trip to three miles for the first time.

Last seen finishing 3rd in the Coral Cup at Cheltenham last month.

Finished 11 lengths behind impressive winner Heaven Help Us, with Janika gaining late and finishing 5th by a neck.

Burbank was a few lengths back in 10th on this occasion.

the weight difference between this horse and Janika remains the same at 3lb in this horse’s favour, but he will carry 4lb more than Burbank than last time.

This is a penalty this horse should survive as Burbank faded in the finish at Cheltenham.

Tea Clipper also avoided a falling horse late on and still finished well, with Janika having a clean run on the outside.

The thinking behind the step up in trip is surely because of this horse’s travelling ability and the flat, fair course will suit.

Market rival Come On Teddy isn’t without a chance on form, but may be a horse that gains an advantage on undulating courses and he won’t get that here.

This horse has strong claims.

14:25 “MERSEY NOVICES’ HURDLE” – DREAL DEAL

Has notched up an impressive six in a row this season, with the last at Punchestown in January the most impressive.

He beat Ganapathi by 3 lengths after a massive leap at the last put him on terms, coming from a long way back to win.

Echoes In Rain was also back in 4th and she is on two wins from two starts since.

The manor of the victory did suggest he needed more distance because of how late he got going.

It was also a great display of stamina as the ground was heavy and he isn’t a horse that is dependant on heavy going.

The trip here is half a mile further and didn’t run at the Cheltenham Festival so should be fresh to go.

15:35 “THE LIVERPOOL HURDLE” – THYME HILL

In the absence of Stayers’ Hurdle winner Flooring Porter, the rivalry between Thyme Hill and Paisley Park will see a third and deciding clash this season.

In their previous results they have shown to be at the top of the staying division in the UK.

They finished ahead of the likes of multi grade two winning Mcfabulous, former Cheltenham Festival winner Summerville Boy and 2019 Mares’ Hurdle winner Roksana.

Paisley Park finished 3rd in the Stayers’ at Cheltenham, but the Paisley Park of 2019 would have finished the race off so he could be worse for ware.

Paisley did well to come back from a heart condition and snatched the Long Walk Hurdle from Thyme Hill by fine margins in December.

Thyme Hill should be fresher here after over three months lay off and could clinch the Liverpool Hurdle.

EACH WAY MENTION – DIOL KER

Representing the Irish here is Diol Ker, never outside the top three in five starts over hurdles and even beat the mighty Monkfish in November 2019. Has started in fields with ten or more runners eight times. Of those eight races has placed or won in six of them. Returned to hurdling from chasing in December, picking up a win and finishing 2nd in a grade two by 1/2 length to Sams Profile.

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